Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.067864 0.080609 0.094917 0.112144 0.132299 0.155109 0.182855
2025-03-16 0.047254 0.063272 0.083330 0.110188 0.145094 0.188797 0.247528
2025-03-23 0.037178 0.054632 0.078411 0.112941 0.161523 0.227119 0.322015
2025-03-30 0.029519 0.046922 0.072368 0.111901 0.171289 0.256586 0.387606
2025-04-06 0.023698 0.040384 0.066354 0.109158 0.177232 0.280361 0.447137
2025-04-13 0.019163 0.034804 0.060571 0.105377 0.180382 0.299562 0.501317
2025-04-20 0.016679 0.032073 0.058754 0.107410 0.192627 0.333824 0.582605
2025-04-27 0.014490 0.029405 0.056515 0.108202 0.202613 0.365220 0.662468
2025-05-04 0.012658 0.027032 0.054361 0.108684 0.211890 0.396162 0.744714
2025-05-11 0.011264 0.025239 0.052957 0.110250 0.223154 0.431591 0.838486
2025-05-18 0.010324 0.024197 0.052815 0.114152 0.239181 0.477204 0.955491
2025-05-25 0.008811 0.021640 0.049203 0.110527 0.239945 0.494191 1.020370
2025-06-01 0.007800 0.020046 0.047421 0.110568 0.248360 0.527346 1.121246
2025-06-08 0.006795 0.018282 0.044994 0.108870 0.252955 0.553511 1.211375
2025-06-15 0.006231 0.017481 0.044606 0.111636 0.267458 0.601387 1.350867
2025-06-22 0.005508 0.016131 0.042709 0.110616 0.273372 0.631796 1.456852
2025-06-29 0.004793 0.014657 0.040265 0.107905 0.275008 0.653062 1.545280
2025-07-06 0.004130 0.013186 0.037576 0.104166 0.273677 0.667511 1.620045
2025-07-13 0.003807 0.012627 0.037174 0.106176 0.286527 0.715440 1.775342
2025-07-20 0.003468 0.011954 0.036352 0.106959 0.296404 0.757465 1.921227
2025-07-27 0.003155 0.011297 0.035467 0.107437 0.305547 0.798679 2.069331
2025-08-03 0.002911 0.010811 0.034993 0.108985 0.317693 0.848424 2.242949
2025-08-10 0.002760 0.010604 0.035311 0.112845 0.336531 0.916684 2.468747